CEEP-BIT WORKING PAPER SERIES
 

Why did the historical energy forecasting succeed or fail? A case study on IEA’s projection

Hua Liao
Jia-Wei Cai
Dong-Wei Yang
Yi-Ming Wei

Working Paper 92
//www.metaimitation.com/english/publications/wp/index.htm

Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
Beijing Institute of Technology
No.5 Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District
Beijing 100081
March 2016

This paper can be cited as: Liao H, Cai, J-W, Yang D-W, Wei Y-M. 2016. Why did the historical energy forecasting succeed or fail? A case study on IEA's projection. CEEP-BIT Working Paper.

We thank the supports from the "Strategic Priority Research Program" of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. XDA05150600), National Natural Science Foundation of China under grants Nos. 71521002, 71322306 and 71273027, Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University of Ministry of Education of China (No. NCET-13-0040), and Program for Excellent Young Talents in Universities of Beijing (No. YETP1181). The views expressed in this paper are solely authors’ own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the supporting agencies and Beijing Institute of Technology. The authors alone are responsible for any remaining deficiencies.

© 2016 by Hua Liao, Jia-Wei Cai, Dong-Wei Yang, Yi-Ming Wei. All rights reserved.

The Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology (CEEP-BIT), was established in 2009. CEEP-BIT conducts researches on energy economics, climate policy and environmental management to provide scientific basis for public and private decisions in strategy planning and management. CEEP-BIT serves as the platform for the international exchange in the area of energy and environmental policy.
Currently, CEEP-BIT Ranks 47, top 3% institutions in the field of Energy Economics at IDEAS（http://ideas.repec.org/top/top.ene.htm), and Ranks 52, top 3% institutions in the field of Environmental Economics at IDEAS (http://ideas.repec.org/ top/top.env.html).

Yi-Ming Wei
Director of Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology
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